U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has announced a tentative agreement with China, signaling a potential revival of substantial U.S. soybean purchases and a one-year delay in China’s rare earth export regulations. The announcement comes amidst a complex and often fraught trade relationship, which has seen U.S. agricultural sectors, particularly soybean farmers, face significant economic challenges.
Secretary Bessent, who publicly identifies as a soybean farmer, stated he had personally “felt pain” from China’s previous refusal to buy U.S.-grown soybeans during a past trade conflict. “I am actually a soybean farmer, so I have felt this pain, too,” Bessent was quoted saying, underscoring the direct impact of trade policies.
Following two days of trade discussions in Malaysia, Bessent indicated that previously considered 100% tariffs on China are no longer under consideration, citing China’s commitment to substantial U.S. soybean acquisitions in the near future. This diplomatic move, also reported by Reuters, suggests a framework agreement on rare earths and soybeans. However, some critics have raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest, noting Bessent’s significant personal ownership of farmland and suggesting any favorable deal could personally enrich him.
The current efforts to stabilize U.S.-China agricultural trade follow a contentious period under the administration of former President Donald Trump, during which tariffs initiated a trade war with China. According to several posts, China, in apparent retaliation, significantly reduced its purchases of U.S. soybeans, reportedly turning instead to suppliers like Argentina. This shift allegedly led to U.S. farmers selling soybeans at drastically reduced prices, with prices dropping from $14 a bushel before the 2018 trade war to $8 a bushel, and resulted in a reported $32 billion in bailout funds. Critics have accused the former administration of “paying over American farmers,” alleging that substantial U.S. taxpayer funds, variously cited as $20 billion or $40 billion, were directed to Argentina. These funds, critics contend, subsidized Argentine soybeans, enabling them to be sold cheaper to China, directly displacing American farmers from a key market. Farmers in states like Iowa and Nebraska have reportedly experienced significant economic downturns, with some posts claiming soybean sales to China plummeted from $14 billion annually to “zero.”
The trade dynamics extended beyond soybeans, with claims emerging that Trump’s policies, including alleged subsidies to Argentina, enabled the latter to sell millions of metric tons of soybeans to China while American farmers’ crops faced potential spoilage. The economic fallout, particularly in agricultural states, has sparked widespread anger among farmers who, despite receiving bailouts, reportedly desired “more customers, not a bailout.” The broader debate also touched on other commodities, with claims about Trump buying Argentine beef and questions raised about the impact on U.S. beef sales. While some commentary speculates on underlying motives of past administrations, suggesting actions favored “rich friends” or were part of larger geopolitical maneuvers, Secretary Bessent has largely focused on soybeans and fentanyl in his public remarks regarding China. The economic ramifications continue to be a significant concern for the agricultural sector, highlighting the delicate balance required in international trade relations.

