Daniel Noboa Secures Re-Election Amid Security Concerns and Electoral Disputes

Derrame petrolero en Esmeraldas Ecuador

In a decisive runoff held on April 13, 2025, Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa was re-elected for a full four-year term, obtaining approximately 56% of the vote against 44% for his leftist opponent, Luisa González. This victory follows his initial ascent to the presidency in 2023 through a snap election, making him the youngest president in Ecuador’s history at age 35.

A Mandate Focused on Security

Noboa’s campaign centered on intensifying efforts against drug-related violence, positioning himself as a leader committed to restoring order in a nation grappling with escalating crime rates. His administration has implemented measures such as deploying the military to combat organized crime and conducting prison raids, leading to a reported decrease in the homicide rate from 46.18 per 100,000 in 2023 to 38.76 in 2024.

Despite these efforts, Ecuador continues to face significant security challenges, with the port city of Guayaquil remaining a hotspot for drug trafficking and violence.

Electoral Disputes and Political Tensions

Following the announcement of the election results, Luisa González and her political allies have alleged electoral fraud, citing discrepancies between pre-election polls and the final vote count. González has called for a recount, though no concrete evidence has been presented to substantiate these claims. Mexico and El Salvador have reserved judgment on the election but other counties have recognized the election including Germany and the United States.

This marks the third consecutive electoral defeat for the political movement associated with former President Rafael Correa, who remains a polarizing figure in Ecuadorian politics.

Governance Challenges Ahead

As Noboa embarks on his new term, he faces the dual challenge of addressing persistent security issues and navigating political divisions. His administration’s approach to governance, including illegal actions such as the raid on the Mexican embassy to arrest former Vice President Jorge Glas, has drawn both domestic approval and international criticism. The point of the raid could not supersede international law but Noboa supporters have not quite digested the consequences with strained relations.

Additionally, Noboa’s relationship with Vice President Verónica Abad has been strained, with reports indicating her reassignment as ambassador to Israel amid internal conflicts.

With a renewed mandate, President Noboa is expected to continue his administration’s focus on security and economic reforms. However, the allegations of electoral fraud and ongoing political tensions suggest that his second term may be marked by continued challenges and the need for careful navigation of Ecuador’s complex political landscape.